Global Independent Analytics
Enric Ravello Barber
Enric Ravello Barber

Location: Spain

Specialization: History, Catalunya, Spain, Geopolitics, Nationalism in Europe, Islamization, Immigration

ALTERNATIVE FOR GERMANY: AN EARTHQUAKE IN GERMAN POLITICS

A new political era in Germany arrived which will undoubtedly have impact all over Europe.

Elections in three German states that took place on Sunday March 13, confirmed what the polls had announced and what the results of the previous week in Hesse had already confirmed [i].

Sunday's results mean March 13 is a real political revolution, and as several German newspapers stated, Germany "will never be as before." To find a similar situation we would have to look back to the success of the Republicans (Die Republikaner) [ii] in the European elections of 1989, when they won 7% of the vote and got 6 deputies, but internal crises ended this nationalist political option rapidly. The more radical NPD [iii] also recently managed to enter the regional parliaments of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Saxony, achieving an MEP at the last European elections. But now Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutchland - AfD) announces the result of something more important: the emergence of a German nationalist force that is anti-EU and anti-immigration in the German federal Parliament that will be held in 2017.

Undoubtedly the key to these good results for AfD is its total rejection of the political and national suicide committed by Angela Mekel with mass immigration and refugees’ arrival, while the German Liberal Party (FDP) supported Merkel and the Social Democrats (SPD) - who were largely defeated in these election- even asked for the arrival of more refugees. Once again it has been shown that when the people can vote freely, the slogan of "refugees welcome" reveals itself as pure demagoguery.

In each state the AfD victory has a particular meaning. The most spectacular results for AfD were made in Saxony-Anhalt where it picked up 23% of the first vote and 24% of the second vote - only 5 points short of becoming the largest party in the state.   Saxony is a stronghold of the traditional nationalist vote, and it is in this area where there were many attacks on refugee centers.

In Rhineland-Palatinate, the AfD victory of 11% has a great political significance, considering that in Western states there is a greater resistance to the nationalist vote, and knowing that it is precisely the two Rhenish regions (Palatinate and North Rhine-Westphalia) where the pressure against anti-immigration parties has been tougher; it is interesting to see what results will take place in the upcoming elections in Rhineland-NRW, whose capital, Cologne, was where the greatest number of thefts and sexual attacks occurred during New Year's Eve. In Baden-Wurtemberg, another "Western" state, AfD went beyond the results of Rhineland-Palatinate and reached 12.5%.

After this electoral victory, AfD should start building a solid party capable of being the reference for German nationalism and anti-immigration and also capable of becoming a reference party for Europe in this regard as a European party. Regarding the first objective, AfD has a very good relationship with the Austrian Freedom Party (FPÖ) [iv] , one of the strongest European parties thanks to the political capacity of its leader; regarding the second objective, AfD will have to take seriously what the organization PEGIDA, which is the reference point in the mobilization in the streets against the arrival of pseudo-refugees, noted in its statement posted on its Facebook [v], in which it congratulate AfD for its success but recalled that cooperation between the two organizations should be possible and positive, warning AfD of any movement towards the "political center”. Failure to do so will surely mean AfD will have a big rival in the elections, precisely PEGIDA, as polls show it winning even a higher percentage of votes than AfD if it presents candidatures.

 

 


[i]http://lionelbaland.hautetfort.com/archive/2016/03/12/l-afd-obtient-223-conseillers-municipaux-en-hesse-5773243.html

[ii] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Republicans_%28Germany%29

[iii] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Democratic_Party_of_Germany

[iv] https://gianalytics.org/439-rapprochement-between-the-austrian-fp-and-the-german-afd

[v] https://www.facebook.com/pegidaevdresden/?fref=nf

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