Global Independent Analytics

Turkey’s Erdogan warned of Brussels terror just days before it happened

Now he brings his condolences and asserts that Turkey “feels Belgian people’s pain”

Ishaan Tharoor in his article for The Washington Post reports: Less than a week before bombs ripped through the capital of Belgium, killing dozens, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan specifically warned of the threat faced by Europe's cities.

His statement came as an aftermath of the deadly terror attack that happened in Ankara on March 13. However, unlike the Ankara incident, which was claimed to be arranged by a Kurdish militant group, the Tuesday’s attack was pinned on the Islamic State.

Tharoor assumes: “[t]he Turkish leader has long resented the West's ambivalence toward Kurdish nationalists; in the fight against the extremists of the Islamic State, the United States and some of its allies have aided and worked with a number of Kurdish factions in the region. He was also irked by the presence of protesters sympathetic to the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party outside of E.U.-Turkey meetings in Brussels last week.”

Last week Erdogan condemned Europe and the U.S. for tolerating Kurdish extremism; he stated that the West was “nursing a viper in its bosom” by supporting these radical groups and asserted that “[t]here is no reason for the bomb which exploded in Ankara not to explode in Brussels.” In his opinion, supporting terrorism in the centre of Europe has finally brought its fruits. “European countries are paying no attention, as if they are dancing in a minefield. You can never know when you are stepping on a mine. But it is clear that this is an inevitable end,” he added.

Since the attacks in Ankara and Brussels are not organizationally correlated, he is not exactly right. However, there might be a connection with a bombing this weekend in Istanbul, that resulted in four tourists dead. Turkish officials linked the attack to the Islamic State.

"Turkey has recently been facing one of the biggest and bloodiest terrorist waves in its history," Erdogan said over the weekend.

But his opponents have long complained that he grandstands far more over the threat posed by Kurdish violence than that of radical Islamist groups. These groups have flourished as Erdogan's ruling party has struggled to formulate a coherent policy for dealing with the Syrian war and the resulting exodus of refugees now sheltering in Turkey, continues Tharoor.

Turkey has suffered extremely from terrorism over the past year and probably has not received as much sympathy as the Western countries that were subjected to terrorism. Erdogan said in his statement: "The heinous attacks in Brussels have reiterated that terror cannot be a method of struggle for freedom, and once again underlined the need for common struggle against all types of terror."

 

By Stefan Paraber for GIA.

EXPERT OPINION

Normunds Grostins

On March 18 president Erdogan was speaking in Çanakkale commemorating WW1 Dardanelles’ operation. He said, that EU is dancing on minefield and there is no reason why bombs may not soon explode in Brussels and in other European cities. His forecast was fast to come true.

It was rather surprising that Brussels with its extremely high political risks and nearly 50 percent Muslim first and second generation immigrant population (heavily agitated by Islamic State) had no baggage scanners at entrances of its metro and in both airports.

Passengers, as I witnessed last week visiting European Parliament, continued to flow freely even as it was very well known, that well-trained terrorists are hiding in the city.

This absence of scanners in Brussels was a big difference comparing to many capitals. For example, one needs to pass scanners in Beijing or Madrid, or in many other big cities.

Of course, it was nice to board trains or enter airports in Brussels so freely and comfortably. But times were changing. Nearly unlimited immigration from destabilized areas like North Africa and Syria was always promoted by Brussels’ EU bureaucracy. So the problems were accumulating and payment for this freedom of little controlled transportation was pending. Now the price for these policies is paid in Brussels. And that price is very high. Dance on the minefield ended in a very predictable way. Very much according to Erdogan's speach. What a coincidence.

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Joshua Tartakovsky

The problem is President Erdogan may truly be suffering from megalomania.  He reportedly told European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker that “Yes I am a prince.” Erdogan threatened to flood Europe with tens of thousands of bodies of dead children, according to a recorded version of the meeting which was publicized in the Greek media.

Erdogan expressed admiration for Hitler’s system of governance and may see himself as a sultan although he does not come to the heels of the historical sultans, even the worse of them.

So, could have Erdogan ordered an attack by his allies ISIS, to ensure that his words have weight, following the PKK’s laying out of tents in Brussels in protest at Turkey’s attacks on Kurdish areas? It is possible. From a supporter of ISIS, anything can be expected.

The problem is Merkel and the EU are in bed with Erdogan. Both Erdogan and Merkel serve the financial system of the elites, with Erdogan using Islamism to hide his crimes and enthuse the population and Merkel relying on “morality” on the need to accept mass migration which is resulting in organ trade, gun and drug trafficking and prostitution.

Read more

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