Global Independent Analytics
Giuseppe Zaccaria
Giuseppe Zaccaria

Location: Italy

Specialization: Balkans, Yugoslavia

The dangerous "replay" button

For Washington to arm jihadists meant to open the way for the collapse of the USSR, and now they continue to do so in Syria.

A senior Russian official, apparently a colonel, was killed few days ago in the Aleppo area by a missile, fired from a department of guerrillas. To say this is the CIA, you would have to prove it, but those in charge of fighting the army of Bashar Al Assad are a credible filter of the legitimacy of second information – the bomb that killed the Russian was a surface-to-surface missile "TOW,“ American-made.

This would assist the "Free Syrian Army” which did not report the news from the area, and consequently, instead of revealing the happening, it is hushed away from the public.

Is it not that the US has secretly armed other guerrilla sections as well, even Jihad? As the status quo is a subject to mystery, let's go back to the victim: the website which first launched the news is called "Daily Beast", and along with the first details question was posed and the question was anything but farfetched: is it not that we are to witnesses a replay of the Soviet war in Afghanistan?

Many of you may remember the story if only to have its pattern through the "Rambo" films: December 24, 1979, the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan and some time later, at the beginning of 1980, the United States formally decided to arm the Afghan rebels. Sure, there was a risk of making a series of powerful Muslim gangs, but did that matter at the prospect was putting the Soviets in trouble?

This, at least, was the official story, and then, several years later, the one who at the time of the events had been the security adviser to President Jimmy Carter, Zbigniew Brzezinski, told they were revealing things to "Nouvel Observateur."

"According to the official version of history - turned out to Brzezinski - the United States has begun to aid to the "mujahedeen" through the CIA in 1980, that is to say, after the Soviet army invaded Afghanistan, but the truth it is completely different: Indeed, it was July 3, 1979, that President Carter signed the first directive for secret aid to the opponents of the pro-Soviet regime in Kabul. And that day, I wrote a note to the president in which I explained to him that in my opinion this aid was going to induce a Soviet military intervention.“

"That secret operation was an excellent idea, as it had the effect of drawing the Russians into the Afghan trap and do you want that regret? The day that the Soviets officially crossed the border, I wrote to President Carter: We now have the opportunity of giving to the USSR its Vietnam War."

In fact, for the next ten years Moscow would pursue an untenable war that resulted in the demoralization of the army, and finally in the Soviet empire collapse. Although this meant providing future terrorists weapons and equipment, Brzezinski was more than justified: "What was most important for the history of the world, the Taliban or the collapse of the Soviet empire? Some regurgitating Muslims or the liberation of Central Europe and the end of the Cold War? ", was his rhetorical question.

At that time, there were no doubts about the answer, but times change and alliances evolve today those same groups who fought the Soviets in the Afghan mountains gave birth to "al Qaeda" before and then a galaxy bands who are hard to define, such as those that today are fighting in Syria. So, if really militias attack the Russian commanders with American equipment, the two former adversaries of the "Cold War" now would be in a miniature replay of the  Afghanistan confrontation, a "war for proxy, "which then is exactly the kind of calculated risk by President Obama.

In truth, in the eighties, the Soviets had denounced the fact that the United States were financing Islamist extremism, but then who would want to get the answer straight? Then, from Afghan rib over the years, various groups have niched with Saudi funding and the example of Bin Laden began to take shape, to train and to fall in Europe during the Bosnian war and incardinated there, waiting to take new businesses. Then, for Washington to arm jihadists meant to open the way for the collapse of the USSR, and now they continue to do so in Syria which could make much more complicated things for Putin's soldiers, even if the territory is very different and you cannot be certain of 'attitude of the population (or what will be left, at least).

But let's stay with the facts: for now the only certain thing  is that the "Free Syrian Army" (and very probably somebody else)  has been equipped with modern and powerful weapons, these weapons can also be at disposal others and could also be directed against the Russians by this or that opposition group. It is not much, but not cheap either, and if there will be new consequences for Russian troops in Syria, soon you will see if in the history machine anyone has really pushed the "replay" button.

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