Global Independent Analytics

Germany: 965,000 migrants registered through November

The migrant flow goes on and on

Associated Press’ Geir Moulson reports: almost a million of Syrian immigrants have registered in Germany in November.

By the end of November 2015, the registered number of Syrian war refugees who insofar have arrived to Germany, reached 965,000, greatly exceeding the forecast announced 4 months earlier. In November only the amount of those fleeing war hit the 205,000 mark. This increased the total number of immigrants: Interior Minister of Germany Thomas De Maiziere predicted August that not more than 800,000 of refugees would arrive by the end of the year. Nevertheless, one more month ahead and the flow of people coming through the Balkans, Turkey and Greece does not seem to be slowing down.

”With few other European countries prepared to share the burden, the influx has stretched Germany's capacity to find housing for migrants and process asylum applications. The Federal Office for Migration and Refugees, which the government is beefing up amid mounting criticism of a backlog of paperwork, decided on 35,422 applications last month,” says Moulson.

However, De Maiziere disclosed that over the past couple of weeks the amount of arrivals has slightly decreased: instead of customary eight-ten thousands of refugees that have been coming daily on the regular basis, now the number is estimated to be about two or three thousand. Apparently, the decrease is based on bad weather conditions in the Mediterranean Sea, which makes it harder to travel long distances. Moreover, Turkey also is attempting to reduce borders crossing for those immigrants who head to Greece.

Although the estimated number of Syrian asylum seekers is somewhere about 965,000, the number includes only those arrivals, who have registered officially. Except them, there are also foreigners who might have registered more than once, those who arrived illegally and those who have checked in and departed to another country.

The Minister claimed that he is not going to rush and announce a new forecast since the situation tends to unravel in unpredictable ways. Earlier he also declined to update his August prediction when the immigrants’ flow considerably increased in September: in his opinion, the forecast’s adjustments could have sounded as an invitation to even more refugees to arrive.

“The refugee authority should be able to get through the backlog of asylum applications in next year's second quarter, de Maiziere said”, reports Moulson.

EXPERT OPINION

Joshua Tartakovsky

In an article for Project Syndicate, titled “Rebuilding the Asylum System,” George Soros, the billionaire hedge-fund manager and founder of various liberal NGOs, called on the EU to accept one million migrants per year, at least. He also said each refugee/migrant must be given €15,000 each year for the first two years.

With these kind of incentives offered it should come at no surprise if and when migration increases, even as European countries are unable to cope with such large waves of migrants and where the economy is already mired in deep crisis.

But, in addition, if there is money for refugees, how come there is no money for austerity-stricken countries such as Greece?

Turkey, which was supposed to stop the flow of refugees, and is not even an EU member, was given $3.35 billion by the EU, while Greece, an EU member, was given a mere $32 million. At the same time, Greece ended up absorbing a very large number of refugees. The number of arrivals went down in December but some experts say this is due to the weather and other factors and not necessarily due to Turkey’s decision.

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