Global Independent Analytics
Pedro Marin
Pedro Marin

Location: Brazil

Specialization: Latin America, Ukraine, North Korea

Venezuela: Amid the sword and the claw

Provocation or tragedy?

Venezuela’s parliamentary elections, to be held on 6th December, would have already been far from smooth due to the country’s current economic situation. But this week has proven to be another thorn in the Venezuelan Government’s side: the recently elected Argentinean candidate Mauricio Macri seems not to waste any time, and last Monday declared to be in favour of Venezuela’s expulsion from Mercosul. Apart from that, Democratic Action (AD) party’s leader, Luis Manuel Diáz, was killed last Wednesday, and of course the opposition decided to  a political scene over the dead body by blaming  the sitting United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) for Díaz’s death.

Following Macri’s strategy, moments after the crime AD’s leader Henry Ramos Allup had found those responsible already: it was “PSUV’s armed groups”, the politician tweeted.

The key thing here is that there’s no apparent reason a government would kill an oppositionist a week before the elections. Especially taking into account that these are  parlamentary elections, and according to polls, PSUV is already predicted to lose a lot of power in the National Assembly, where the opposition would conquer a majority. If it was indeed PSUV who did it, they didn’t only kill Diáz, but commited political suicide as well.

Despite the accusations, President Nicolás Maduro said his Ministry of the Interior had found evidence which shows Diáz’s death was a caused by criminal groups coming to terms. In its turn, PSUV’s campaign director Jorge Rodríguez said Diáz was a member of the criminal gang “Los Plateados” and that he was killed as a result of a dispute involving the syndicate mafia, adding that Diáz was being investigated for murder since 2010.

Struggling with rampant inflation, Maduro has been losing a lot of popularity. It even made him say that the revolution faces its biggest threat ever. In a world where oil isn’t worth much, Venezuela’s dependence on its exportation (about 50% of its GDP comes from oil production) makes it a very fragile country.

Despite the attempts to make Venezuelan leaders look insane, it surely isn’t smart to discredit Maduro’s complaints on U.S intervention in the country. Some weeks ago Telesur and The Intercept released documents obtained by Snowden that show U.S inteliggence agents spyed on the country’s state oil company PDVSA.

Venezuela is the head of democratic progressive movement in Latin America, which include Brazil, Bolivia, Peru, Uruguai, Chile, El Salvador, Equador and Cuba – Argentina’s Cristina Kichner used to be a part of it as well. Of course, all these countries had very different governments, but they all played some alarms in Washington – especially Venezuela, which was the target of a failed coup d’etat in 2002.

 

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