Global Independent Analytics

More Mexican Immigrants Leaving U.S. Than Entering, Report Finds

The end of the largest wave of immigration from a single country in American history

Julia Preston for The New York Times reports: the end of Mexican immigration wave is close, according to recent research by the Pew Research Center. The quantity of Mexican immigrants leaving the U.S.  for the first time surpassed the quantity of those who are arriving. This is chiefly the outcome of dropped amount of Mexicans who choose to access America.

Oddly enough that while presidential candidates, specifically GOP ones, have been pushing for tougher border control and erecting more walls, the study results demonstrate that the frontier measures, which have already been executed under Obama’s government, considerably decreased flow of illegitimate immigrants into the country.

“We know that crossings are definitely down and we also know it is much more difficult and costly to cross now than it used to be,” cites Preston a research associate of the Pew Center. The slack pace of revival after the financial crisis of 2008 also had its impact on the rate since significantly fewer jobs were offered for low-qualified immigrants.

It was disclosed in the report that throughout the period of 2009-2014 870,000 Mexicans attained the U.S. and somewhat more than a million of Mexicans chose their motherland over America, thus, the outflow equals almost 140,000. It is believed that the repetition of such immigrant wave is unlikely and the given report shows that the Mexico immigration epoch is over.

In 2014 the number of illegal border crossings reached the lowest level since 1971, totaling to 230,000 as stated by official figures which in its turn affected the overall number of Mexicans in the United States: its apex was reached in 2007 (12,8 million) and in 2014 the number dropped to 11,7 million in 2014. The amount of undocumented immigrants also declined from 6.9 million to 5.6 million for the similar period of time. Nevertheless, insofar Mexicans hold the 1st place among illegal immigrants in America who have been arriving to the country for almost 50 year.

Sadly Donald Trump, presidential candidate who advocated for building of a “big & beautiful wall” and expressed his overall opposition to Mexican immigration, did not respond to requests for comments regarding the Pew report.

The main reason for Mexicans to leave the U.S., according to the report, is “own accord”: six out of ten migrants claim that they returned home in order to get together with family members. The second popular ground is deportation. Then there goes a job offer in the motherland. It was disclosed that “figure might not reflect all Mexican residents expelled by the United States authorities, because many Mexican who are deported have said they crossed again illegally to return to families or jobs in the United States.”

Although Mexicans are the largest immigration group, the country has been experiencing a rush of Asian immigrants from China and India, but there is no information yet whether Chinese immigrants are bearing the palm.

 

EXPERT OPINION

Joshua Tartakovsky

Over A Million Mexicans Prefer Living in Mexico Over the US Where Low-Paying Jobs are Hard to Find Between 2009 and 2014, over a million Mexicans left the United States for Mexico. This negative trend is unprecedented. At the minimum, it indicates, as several Mexicans indeed told the New York Times, that it is becoming increasingly difficult to find low-paying jobs in the US. This may be due to a growing competition or since we are facing a “jobless recover” in which economic growth does not mean more jobs. Another ramification from the study may be that many Mexican migrants are unable to secure higher paying jobs. 61% respondents covered in the study by the Pew Research Institute said that they wish to return to Mexico due to their desire to unite with their families or start a new family. The Mexican economy is not doing too well either, but unemployment is lower than in the United States. Understandably, many Mexicans seem to feel more comfortable in their home country since they are not exposed to hate speech and racism there and can enjoy closer familial and communal relationships.
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Normunds Grostins

They'll be back The United States occupied Mexican territory in the nineteenth century, and the region still maintains some characteristics of an occupied territory. The cultural border of Mexico has shifted northward even though the political border remains static. Mexican community is concentrated in these formerly Mexican territories. When we look at Mexico's population, we see continued growth but also a soft landing in population growth by mid-century.Soon enough, in the early 2030s immigration laws will aggressively encourage immigration to the United States in order to solve America's labor shortages. The borderland, extending far into the United States, will become predominantly Mexican. Population movement will thus reverse the social reality that was imposed militarily in the nineteenth century.
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